The Homeowner Associations Future Forecast

Preparing for and overseeing a homeowner associations finances are perhaps the most important board responsibilities. It takes money and careful planning to maintain and preserve common area property. One of the best forecasting tools is a "reserve study" is needed to identify common element components, their useful lives and cost of repair or replacement. Unlike the weather, this is one forecast that actually happens pretty much as predicted.

Reserve plans cover a 30 year projection period so that roofs, decks, fences and other long lived and expensive components can be included. They analyze several aspects of the components:

Physical Analysis. A site inspection evaluates the current condition of each reserve component with the goal of determining its remaining useful life and useful life when new. The inspection may also reveal improper construction or materials which the board should consider correcting sooner if structural failure, dryrot, etc. is indicated or later if improved materials and designs are now available and it just makes sense to upgrade.

Financial Analysis. The financial analysis includes taking into account what the HOA currently has in its reserve fund, how much it will cost to fund future repairs and replacements, current rate of area inflation and rate of return on invested reserve funds. The term "Percent Funded" is an important indicator and it works like this: Each reserve component has an ideal amount that should be set aside each year to be 100 Percent Funded. For example, if a roof has a 20 year life and costs 200,000 to install, 10,000 200,000 20 years should be reserved each year to be 100 Funded. So, in the roofs third year of life, 30,000 should be in reserve. If, say, only 15,000 of that 30,000 is reserved, the roof is only 50 Funded at that point in time. Repeating this exercise for all the reserve components will produce an overall Percent Funded.

The value of being 100 Funded is that there will be no need for special assessments in the future. The 100 Funded approach is fair to all members along the 30 year time line since all are paying their full share as years pass. If the reserve plan indicates the HOA is less than 100 Funded, a contribution plan can increase that level toward 100 over a period of years to close the gap.

Reserve Fund Investing. One great part of the Financial Analysis is that the board has a clear picture of when reserve funds will need to be spent. This permits an investment strategy to generate interest income. The better job the board does on investments, the less money that needs to be contributed by the members. The board should typically look for the highest returns on Certificates of Deposits. Money market and savings accounts typically yield far less than the rate of inflation so reserve funds will actually lose value. The importance of getting the highest yet safe yields cannot be understated. Interest revenues can yield tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars over a period of 30 years.

Answering the Nay Sayers. Some members are >Be Lender Friendly. Mortgage lenders are paying closer attention to the signs of a well managed HOA when they qualify buyers for loans. The reserve study is routinely found on lender information request forms. Lenders know that the better the HOAs planning is, the more secure their collateral will be.

Be Buyer Friendly. Most home buyers are stretched to the limit on home purchases. The last thing they need is a special assessment to complicate their finances. With a proper reserve plan, large expenses can be anticipated and funded years ahead of time. When the board advises all owners the plan, surprises and special assessments are eliminated. It just makes sense that homes in HOAs that are well managed sell for more and faster.

Update Your Forecast Yearly. The key to keeping a 30 year forecast accurate is by making small course corrections along the way. Reserve plans need to be reviewed each year and adjusted as needed. Even if no reserve >There is a great future in forecasting. Dont let your future become your past. For more on reserve planning, see www.Regenesis.net - Reserve Planning http://www.apra-usa.com.

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